Year I · No. XL
Daily · Paris
Thu 1 October 2026
❦
Crypto · Markets · Flows · Signals
Data as of 2026-10-01 04:22 UTC
Week 40
Circulation: public
International Edition
This week: macroeconomics and Bitcoin clearly dominate, ahead of monetary policy (5 main themes).
In focus this week
Macro/BTC lead
ETF BTC −$149mn
S&P 500 ▼ −0.3% 24h
The Day's Editorial

Outflows mount at the quarter's edge; prices hold

ETF flows, world indices and press sentiment: the crypto market in a single read.

▲   Section I  ·  Markets — Free to share Public edition
I
Of Cryptocurrencies
❦
◆ Market indices · Week 40 top 125 CMC · vs. 24h
Market Cap
$2.92T
top 125 CMC
BTC Dominance
57.6%
BTC / total
Total3
$907B
excl. BTC, ETH
Total3ES
$628B
excl. BTC, ETH, stables
Fear & Greed
74
Greed
◆ Top 10 cryptocurrencies (excluding stablecoins) live data
# Crypto Price 24h 7d Market Cap Volume 24h Circulating
1 BTC Bitcoin $83,671.22 ▲ +0.38% ▼ −0.19% $1.68T $37B 20 M
2 ETH Ethereum $2,695.02 ▲ +0.78% ▲ +0.88% $329B $14B 122 M
4 BNB BNB $768.56 ▲ +0.76% ▲ +0.31% $102B $2B 133 M
5 XRP XRP $1.50 ▲ +0.08% ▲ +0.48% $95B $3B 63.09 Md
7 SOL Solana $118.46 ▼ −0.87% ▲ +3.38% $70B $4B 588 M
8 TRX TRON $0.3381 ▲ +0.60% ▼ −1.63% $32B $520M 94.98 Md
9 ZEC Zcash $1,423.86 ▲ +0.89% ▼ −5.11% $24B $1B 17 M
10 HYPE Hyperliquid $88.89 ▲ +3.42% ▼ −2.94% $22B $1B 251 M
11 DOGE Dogecoin $0.0955 ▲ +1.97% ▲ +2.50% $16B $1B 171.85 Md
12 LINK Chainlink $14.45 ▲ +0.29% ▲ +17.51% $11B $594M 748 M
Context
◆ Neutral sentiment — analysis based on the international press of the past 48 hours.
Sources CoinMarketCap.com (prices, volumes, market capitalisation)  ·  alternative.me (Fear & Greed Index)  ·  TradingView (Total3 / Total3ES definitions)
II
Of World Markets
❦
Quotes as of 1 October 2026 at 06:15 (Paris time).
NORTH AMERICA.
S&P 500 7,652 ▼ −0.3%
Nasdaq Comp. 30,409 ▲ +0.2%
Dow Jones 50,906 ▼ −0.9%
◆
EUROPE.
CAC 40 FR 7,965 ▼ −0.9%
DAX 40 DE 25,199 ▼ −0.8%
Euro Stoxx 50 6,269 ▼ −0.8%
ASIA-PACIFIC.
Nikkei JP 68,540 ▲ +2.7%
Hang Seng HK 24,613 ▲ +0.4%
SSE Comp. CN 3,842 ▲ +0.3%
KOSPI KR 6,907 ▲ +1.0%
◆
LATIN AMERICA.
IBOVESPA BR 186,340 ▲ +1.4%
IPC Mexico MX 64,214 ▼ −1.4%
EMERGING MARKETS.
Sensex IN 72,324 ▼ −0.2%
JSE Top 40 ZA 6,608 ▼ −0.7%
Exchange
rates
session
EUR / USD
1.1329
▼ −0.0%
GBP / USD
1.3256
▼ −0.1%
CHF / USD
1.1962
▼ −0.1%
JPY / USD
0.006320
▼ −0.6%
USD / EUR
0.8827
▲ +0.0%
USD / GBP
0.7544
▲ +0.1%
USD / CHF
0.8360
▲ +0.1%
USD / JPY
158.23
▲ +0.6%
Reading
On the financial press agenda this week: macroeconomics · Bitcoin · monetary policy · geopolitical tensions · regulation.
If it is better to be happy as a result of one's own exertions than by the gift of fortune, it is reasonable to suppose that this is how happiness is won …
— Aristotle, Greek philosopher (384 – 322 BC)
III
Of Institutional Flows
❦
◆ Verdict · Wednesday 30 September session
Profit-taking.
Bitcoin gains ground (+0.53%) yet suffers $149mn of outflows: holders are cashing in. Among altcoins, caution prevails (flows −$71mn, prices −0.51% to +2.44%).
 
 
FLOWS
PRICE 24H
BTC
12 ETF
−$149mn
+0.53%
ETH
11 ETF
−$60mn
+0.91%
SOL
9 ETF
−$11mn
−0.51%
XRP
5 ETF
+$0mn
+0.55%
DOGE
3 ETF
−$1mn
+2.44%
Net total: −$220mn  ·  40 spot ETFs  ·  AUM $129.2bn
Sources SoSoValue.com (reported flows, assets under management)  ·  CoinMarketCap.com (24-hour change in the underlying)
Analysts' view
▲ Bitcoin ETFs Extend Win Streak to 9 Days, Matching August Rally — Decrypt
▲ BlackRock (BLK) Is Defending Its ETF Position With Five New Share Classes - Yahoo Finance — Google News — Crypto EN
IV
Of Technical Signals
❦
◆ Technical view · 1 October

Wednesday's session closed with a configuration that, at the quarterly boundary, invites a particular kind of attention. Bitcoin's exchange-traded funds recorded net outflows of $149mn on the 30th of September, with net flows across all crypto ETFs reaching minus $220mn — the first notably negative reading in a sequence that has otherwise favoured inflows. Yet at Wednesday's close, Bitcoin held at $83,623.60, a retreat of less than one-tenth of one per cent from Tuesday's $83,663.66. Institutional participants withdrew capital; the price did not follow.

The momentum readings at Wednesday's close remain orderly across the survey. Ether closed at $2,686.01, its RSI at 62.3. Chainlink, which touched overbought ground as recently as Monday's session, returned a reading of 62.8 at Wednesday's close — 10.4 per cent from the threshold. Solana closed at $118.12, its RSI at 61.7, with its three-times-tested support at $81.39 remaining 31.1 per cent below.

TRX stands in a category of its own. At Wednesday's close of $0.3374, momentum sat at 50.5 — a mere 0.1 per cent from the mid-range threshold, with resistance at $0.3376 essentially level with the close. The sentiment barometer, at 56 out of 100, holds to neutral ground.

◆ Bitcoin · technical map · 1D · 200 sessions · 1 October
Support $74,953 · 2× touches RSI 70 · $87,184 RSI 50 · $80,930 RSI 30 · $71,084 $83,624 Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
Historical resistance Historical support RSI 70 (overbought) RSI 50 (neutral) RSI 30 (oversold)
◆ Technical indicators · Top 10 · Timeframe 1D Wilder smoothing method
# Crypto RSI 14 Overbought 70 Neutral 50 Oversold 30 MA50/200 P vs MA20
1 BTC $83,623.60 61.2 $87,183.99 +4.3% $80,929.78 −3.2% $71,083.81 −15.0% ▲▲ ▲ +2.8%
2 ETH $2,686.01 62.3 $2,797.36 +4.1% $2,578.23 −4.0% $2,215.40 −17.5% ▲▲ ▲ +2.9%
4 BNB $769.27 57.8 $827.21 +7.5% $746.88 −2.9% $636.70 −17.2% ▲▲ ▲ +1.8%
5 XRP $1.49 55.9 $1.70 +14.3% $1.44 −3.6% $1.10 −26.1% ▲▲ ▲ +3.4%
7 SOL $118.12 61.7 $127.20 +7.7% $110.46 −6.5% $83.50 −29.3% ▲▲ ▲ +6.0%
8 TRX $0.3374 50.5 $0.3555 +5.4% $0.3371 −0.1% $0.3183 −5.6% ▲▲ ▼ −0.2%
9 ZEC $1,438.41 55.7 $1,893.41 +31.6% $1,329.75 −7.6% $621.22 −56.8% ▲▲ ▲ +1.8%
10 HYPE $90.98 56.8 $104.89 +15.3% $86.72 −4.7% $62.86 −30.9% ▲▲ ▲ +3.7%
11 DOGE $0.09456 56.7 $0.1085 +14.7% $0.09033 −4.5% $0.06653 −29.6% ▲▲ ▲ +4.8%
12 LINK $14.37 62.8 $15.86 +10.4% $12.79 −11.0% $7.61 −47.0% ▲▲ ▲ +12.8%
Analysis based on the international press of the past 48 hours.

The Crypto Chronicle · Thu 1 October 2026