Year I · No. XL
Daily · Paris
Fri 2 October 2026
❦
Crypto · Markets · Flows · Signals
Data as of 2026-10-02 04:22 UTC
Week 40
Circulation: public
International Edition
This week: macroeconomics and Bitcoin clearly dominate, ahead of monetary policy (5 main themes).
In focus this week
Macro/BTC lead
ETF BTC +$103mn
S&P 500 ▲ +0.2% 24h
The Day's Editorial

Quarter-end turbulence clears; institutional capital returns

ETF flows, world indices and press sentiment: the crypto market in a single read.

▲   Section I  ·  Markets — Free to share Public edition
I
Of Cryptocurrencies
❦
◆ Market indices · Week 40 top 125 CMC · vs. 24h
Market Cap
$2.96T
top 125 CMC
BTC Dominance
58.1%
BTC / total
Total3
$906B
excl. BTC, ETH
Total3ES
$626B
excl. BTC, ETH, stables
Fear & Greed
72
Greed
◆ Top 10 cryptocurrencies (excluding stablecoins) live data
# Crypto Price 24h 7d Market Cap Volume 24h Circulating
1 BTC Bitcoin $85,905.56 ▲ +2.62% ▲ +2.16% $1.73T $34B 20 M
2 ETH Ethereum $2,735.61 ▲ +1.51% ▲ +2.28% $334B $14B 122 M
4 BNB BNB $775.03 ▲ +0.84% ▲ +0.49% $103B $1B 133 M
5 XRP XRP $1.51 ▲ +0.55% ▼ −1.54% $95B $3B 63.09 Md
7 SOL Solana $120.94 ▲ +2.09% ▲ +3.81% $71B $3B 588 M
8 TRX TRON $0.3344 ▼ −1.08% ▼ −1.13% $32B $578M 94.98 Md
9 ZEC Zcash $1,333.54 ▼ −6.34% ▼ −14.17% $23B $1B 17 M
10 HYPE Hyperliquid $88.72 ▼ −0.19% ▼ −3.24% $22B $890M 251 M
11 DOGE Dogecoin $0.09491 ▼ −0.60% ▼ −0.20% $15B $870M 156.15 Md
12 LINK Chainlink $14.40 ▼ −0.36% ▲ +8.05% $11B $414M 748 M
Context
◆ Neutral sentiment — analysis based on the international press of the past 48 hours.
Sources CoinMarketCap.com (prices, volumes, market capitalisation)  ·  alternative.me (Fear & Greed Index)  ·  TradingView (Total3 / Total3ES definitions)
II
Of World Markets
❦
Quotes as of 2 October 2026 at 06:15 (Paris time).
NORTH AMERICA.
S&P 500 7,666 ▲ +0.2%
Nasdaq Comp. 30,502 ▲ +0.3%
Dow Jones 50,927 ▲ +0.0%
◆
EUROPE.
CAC 40 FR 7,835 ▼ −1.6%
DAX 40 DE 24,939 ▼ −1.0%
Euro Stoxx 50 6,175 ▼ −1.5%
ASIA-PACIFIC.
Nikkei JP 68,286 ▼ −1.0%
Hang Seng HK 23,966 ▼ −2.6%
SSE Comp. CN 3,842 ▲ +0.3%
KOSPI KR 6,974 ▲ +0.0%
◆
LATIN AMERICA.
IBOVESPA BR 187,197 ▲ +0.5%
IPC Mexico MX 63,829 ▼ −0.6%
EMERGING MARKETS.
Sensex IN 71,910 ▼ −0.8%
JSE Top 40 ZA 6,458 ▼ −2.3%
Exchange
rates
session
EUR / USD
1.1255
▲ +0.1%
GBP / USD
1.3210
▲ +0.1%
CHF / USD
1.2055
▲ +0.1%
JPY / USD
0.006334
▲ +0.1%
USD / EUR
0.8885
▼ −0.1%
USD / GBP
0.7570
▼ −0.1%
USD / CHF
0.8295
▼ −0.1%
USD / JPY
157.88
▼ −0.1%
Reading
On the financial press agenda this week: macroeconomics · Bitcoin · monetary policy · geopolitical tensions · regulation.
The State is the great fiction by which everyone seeks to live at the expense of everyone else.
— Frédéric Bastiat, French economist (1801-1850)
III
Of Institutional Flows
❦
◆ Verdict · Thursday 1 October session
Bullish conviction.
Bitcoin draws $103mn as its price rises 2.15%: conviction holds. Among altcoins, flows remain cautious (−0.88% to +2.24%).
 
 
FLOWS
PRICE 24H
BTC
12 ETF
+$103mn
+2.15%
ETH
11 ETF
−$55mn
+0.92%
SOL
9 ETF
−$6mn
+2.24%
XRP
5 ETF
+$4mn
+0.53%
DOGE
3 ETF
+$0mn
−0.88%
Net total: +$45mn  ·  40 spot ETFs  ·  AUM $130.7bn
Sources SoSoValue.com (reported flows, assets under management)  ·  CoinMarketCap.com (24-hour change in the underlying)
Analysts' view
▲ SEC Proposes New Rule for Investment Advisers to Hold Bitcoin for Clients: Which Coins Will See Over $100 Tril — Yahoo (24/7 Wall St.)
▲ SEC Proposes Rules to Clear Up How Advisers and Funds Can Hold Crypto — Decrypt
◆ SEC proposes new crypto custody rules for investment advisers and funds — CoinDesk
IV
Of Technical Signals
❦
◆ Technical view · 2 October

Thursday's close placed Bitcoin at $84,880.05, a gain of 1.5 per cent from Wednesday's $83,623.60, accompanied by net inflows into Bitcoin exchange-traded funds of $103mn on the 1st of October, with net flows across all crypto ETFs reaching $45mn. The relationship between the two figures merits a moment's consideration. Where Wednesday's session recorded outflows of $149mn against a price that barely moved, Thursday reversed the terms: institutional capital returned, and the price followed. The quarterly boundary that made Wednesday's outflows conspicuous has now, it appears, been cleared.

The momentum readings across the survey at Thursday's close remain orderly and some distance from extension. Bitcoin's RSI stood at 64.8, some 2.5 per cent from overbought ground — closer to that threshold than any other asset surveyed save Ether, which closed at $2,706.42 with a momentum reading of 64.0. TRX, closing at $0.3348, retained its characteristic quietude: momentum at 46.2, with resistance at $0.3376 a mere 0.8 per cent above that close.

The sentiment barometer, at 54 out of 100, holds to neutral ground.

◆ Bitcoin · technical map · 1D · 200 sessions · 2 October
Support $74,953 · 2× touches RSI 70 · $87,019 RSI 50 · $81,212 RSI 30 · $70,514 $84,880 Mar May Jul Sep
Historical resistance Historical support RSI 70 (overbought) RSI 50 (neutral) RSI 30 (oversold)
◆ Technical indicators · Top 10 · Timeframe 1D Wilder smoothing method
# Crypto RSI 14 Overbought 70 Neutral 50 Oversold 30 MA50/200 P vs MA20
1 BTC $84,880.05 64.8 $87,019.42 +2.5% $81,211.94 −4.3% $70,513.65 −16.9% ▲▲ ▲ +3.9%
2 ETH $2,706.42 64.0 $2,790.86 +3.1% $2,587.39 −4.4% $2,225.21 −17.8% ▲▲ ▲ +3.3%
4 BNB $771.75 58.6 $823.25 +6.7% $748.66 −3.0% $643.28 −16.6% ▲▲ ▲ +1.8%
5 XRP $1.49 56.2 $1.69 +13.0% $1.44 −3.5% $1.12 −24.8% ▲▲ ▲ +3.2%
7 SOL $118.41 62.0 $126.57 +6.9% $111.03 −6.2% $85.63 −27.7% ▲▲ ▲ +5.5%
8 TRX $0.3348 46.2 $0.3572 +6.7% $0.3369 +0.6% $0.3195 −4.6% ▼▲ ▼ −0.9%
9 ZEC $1,335.56 50.3 $1,980.90 +48.3% $1,330.17 −0.4% $672.25 −49.7% ▲▲ ▼ −6.0%
10 HYPE $87.70 51.4 $107.72 +22.8% $86.79 −1.0% $64.64 −26.3% ▲▲ ▼ −0.5%
11 DOGE $0.09437 56.4 $0.1077 +14.1% $0.09062 −4.0% $0.06851 −27.4% ▲▲ ▲ +4.0%
12 LINK $14.39 62.9 $15.76 +9.5% $12.90 −10.3% $8.07 −43.9% ▲▲ ▲ +11.8%
Analysis based on the international press of the past 48 hours.

The Crypto Chronicle · Fri 2 October 2026