Year I · No. XL
Daily · Paris
Sat 3 October 2026
❦
The Crypto Chronicle
Crypto · Markets · Flows · Signals
Data as of 2026-10-03 04:22 UTC
Week 40
Circulation: public
International Edition
This week: macroeconomics and Bitcoin clearly dominate, ahead of monetary policy (5 main themes).
The Day's Editorial
Institutions buy against the trend, again
ETF flows, world indices and press sentiment: the crypto market in a single read.
▲ Section I · Markets — Free to share
Public edition
I
Of Cryptocurrencies
❦
◆ Market indices · Week 40
top 125 CMC · vs. 24h
Market Cap
$2.93T
top 125 CMC
BTC Dominance
58.1%
BTC / total
Total3
$899B
excl. BTC, ETH
Total3ES
$619B
excl. BTC, ETH, stables
Fear & Greed
67
Greed
◆ Top 10 cryptocurrencies (excluding stablecoins)
live data
| # | Crypto | Price | 24h | 7d | Market Cap | Volume 24h | Circulating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BTC Bitcoin | $84,574.80 | ▼ −1.97% | ▲ +0.67% | $1.70T | $43B | 20 M |
| 2 | ETH Ethereum | $2,674.83 | ▼ −1.78% | ▼ −0.59% | $327B | $18B | 122 M |
| 4 | BNB BNB | $767.52 | ▼ −0.97% | ▼ −0.92% | $102B | $2B | 133 M |
| 5 | XRP XRP | $1.49 | ▼ −1.29% | ▼ −4.71% | $94B | $4B | 63.09 Md |
| 7 | SOL Solana | $119.17 | ▼ −1.46% | ▼ −1.35% | $70B | $4B | 588 M |
| 8 | TRX TRON | $0.3342 | ▼ −0.06% | ▼ −0.97% | $32B | $432M | 94.98 Md |
| 9 | ZEC Zcash | $1,319.03 | ▼ −1.09% | ▼ −14.15% | $22B | $1B | 17 M |
| 10 | HYPE Hyperliquid | $88.09 | ▼ −0.71% | ▼ −4.27% | $22B | $953M | 251 M |
| 11 | DOGE Dogecoin | $0.09309 | ▼ −1.92% | ▼ −5.26% | $16B | $1B | 171.88 Md |
| 12 | LINK Chainlink | $13.92 | ▼ −3.33% | ▼ −1.71% | $10B | $615M | 748 M |
Context
◆ Neutral sentiment — analysis based on the international press of the past 48 hours.
Sources
CoinMarketCap.com (prices, volumes, market capitalisation)
· alternative.me (Fear & Greed Index)
· TradingView (Total3 / Total3ES definitions)
II
Of World Markets
❦
Quotes as of 3 October 2026 at 06:15 (Paris time).
NORTH AMERICA.
S&P 500
7,723
▲ +0.7%
Nasdaq Comp.
30,808
▲ +1.0%
Dow Jones
51,177
▲ +0.5%
◆
EUROPE.
CAC 40 FR
7,897
▲ +0.8%
DAX 40 DE
25,231
▲ +1.2%
Euro Stoxx 50
6,239
▲ +1.0%
ASIA-PACIFIC.
Nikkei JP
68,309
▼ −0.9%
Hang Seng HK
23,972
▼ −2.6%
SSE Comp. CN
3,842
▲ +0.3%
KOSPI KR
7,004
▲ +0.5%
◆
LATIN AMERICA.
IBOVESPA BR
192,115
▲ +2.6%
IPC Mexico MX
64,532
▲ +1.1%
EMERGING MARKETS.
Sensex IN
71,910
▼ −0.8%
JSE Top 40 ZA
6,515
▲ +0.9%
Exchange
rates
session
rates
session
EUR / USD
1.1257
▲ +0.1%
GBP / USD
1.3240
▲ +0.4%
CHF / USD
1.2070
▲ +0.2%
JPY / USD
0.006336
▲ +0.1%
USD / EUR
0.8883
▼ −0.1%
USD / GBP
0.7553
▼ −0.4%
USD / CHF
0.8285
▼ −0.2%
USD / JPY
157.83
▼ −0.1%
Reading
On the financial press agenda this week: macroeconomics · Bitcoin · monetary policy · geopolitical tensions · regulation.
This increase and the prospect attract new buyers; the new buyers assure a further increase. Yet more are attracted; yet more buy; the increase continues. The speculation building on itself provides its own momentum.
III
Of Institutional Flows
❦
◆ Verdict · Friday 2 October session
Buying into weakness.
While Bitcoin marks time (−0.97%), institutions are buying (+$32mn). And while altcoins lose ground (−1.56% to −1.18%), investors are pulling out.
FLOWS
PRICE 24H
BTC
12 ETF
+$32mn
−0.97%
ETH
11 ETF
−$17mn
−1.37%
SOL
9 ETF
+$1mn
−1.46%
XRP
5 ETF
−$3mn
−1.18%
DOGE
3 ETF
+$0mn
−1.56%
Net total: +$12mn
· 40 spot ETFs
· AUM $51.2bn
Sources
SoSoValue.com (reported flows, assets under management)
· CoinMarketCap.com (24-hour change in the underlying)
Analysts' view
▲
Bitcoin Breaks Above $86,000 as Uptober Optimism Drives ETF Inflows - finance.biggo.com
— Google News — Macro EN
▲
US-listed ETFs on course for record annual inflows, State Street says - Reuters
— Google News — Crypto EN
IV
Of Technical Signals
❦
◆ Technical view · 3 October
Friday's session closed with Bitcoin recording a decline of just under one per cent to $84,518.01, yet exchange-traded funds recorded net inflows of $32mn into Bitcoin on that same session, with net flows across all crypto ETFs reaching $12mn. The configuration is now a familiar one in this survey: institutional participants have, on three separate occasions in recent weeks, directed capital towards an asset whose price moved against them. Friday's session adds a fourth instance, though the sums involved are modest by comparison with the $134mn and $347mn recorded earlier in the sequence.
The momentum readings at Friday's close remain orderly. Bitcoin's RSI stood at 63.0, some 3.3 per cent from overbought ground. Ether closed at $2,668.59 with a reading of 58.8. TRX, at $0.3347, sits within 0.9 per cent of its twice-tested resistance at $0.3376 — a proximity that has persisted across several sessions without resolution.
The sentiment barometer, at 53 out of 100, remains at neutral ground. The market neither presses forward nor retreats.
◆ Bitcoin · technical map · 1D · 200 sessions · 3 October
Historical resistance
Historical support
RSI 70 (overbought)
RSI 50 (neutral)
RSI 30 (oversold)
◆ Technical indicators · Top 10 · Timeframe 1D
Wilder smoothing method
| # | Crypto | RSI 14 | Overbought 70 | Neutral 50 | Oversold 30 | MA50/200 | P vs MA20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BTC $84,518.01 | 63.0 | $87,288.99 +3.3% | $81,448.09 −3.6% | $71,513.96 −15.4% | ▲▲ | ▲ +3.0% |
| 2 | ETH $2,668.59 | 58.8 | $2,828.97 +6.0% | $2,593.19 −2.8% | $2,256.88 −15.4% | ▲▲ | ▲ +1.6% |
| 4 | BNB $768.25 | 57.1 | $823.66 +7.2% | $750.06 −2.4% | $652.21 −15.1% | ▲▲ | ▲ +1.1% |
| 5 | XRP $1.48 | 55.0 | $1.68 +13.5% | $1.44 −2.7% | $1.15 −22.6% | ▲▲ | ▲ +2.1% |
| 7 | SOL $118.65 | 62.3 | $126.01 +6.2% | $111.57 −6.0% | $87.69 −26.1% | ▲▲ | ▲ +4.9% |
| 8 | TRX $0.3347 | 46.0 | $0.3558 +6.3% | $0.3368 +0.6% | $0.3206 −4.2% | ▼▲ | ▼ −0.9% |
| 9 | ZEC $1,301.48 | 48.6 | $1,974.56 +51.7% | $1,328.12 +2.0% | $717.19 −44.9% | ▲▲ | ▼ −9.0% |
| 10 | HYPE $89.11 | 53.4 | $106.39 +19.4% | $86.95 −2.4% | $64.64 −27.5% | ▲▲ | ▲ +0.6% |
| 11 | DOGE $0.09293 | 53.8 | $0.1084 +16.7% | $0.09078 −2.3% | $0.07026 −24.4% | ▲▲ | ▲ +2.0% |
| 12 | LINK $13.79 | 57.0 | $16.35 +18.5% | $12.97 −6.0% | $8.48 −38.5% | ▲▲ | ▲ +6.2% |
Analysis based on the international press of the past 48 hours.