Year I · No. XLI
Weekly · Paris
Sun 11 October 2026
❦
The Crypto Chronicle · The Week in Review
Data as of 2026-10-11 19:26 UTC
Week 41
Circulation: public
International Sunday Edition
This week: macroeconomics and Bitcoin clearly dominate, ahead of geopolitical tensions (5 main themes).
In focus this week
Macro/BTC lead
ETF BTC +$21mn
S&P 500 ▲ +0.6% 24h
The Week's Editorial

Institutions withdraw; the market finally yields

ETF flows, world indices and press sentiment: the crypto market in a single read.

▲   Section I  ·  Markets — Free to share Public edition
I
Of Cryptocurrencies
❦
◆ Market indices · Week 41 vs. 7d
MARKET CAP top 125 CMC BTC DOMINANCE BTC / total TOTAL3 excl. BTC, ETH TOTAL3ES excl. BTC, ETH, stables FEAR & GREED index 0–100
$2.87T 58.5% $883B $604B 61
4–11 OCT $2.94T → $2.87T 58.0% → 58.5% $905B → $883B $625B → $604B 65 → 61
Δ 7D ▼ −2.3% ▲ +0.5 pts ▼ −2.4% ▼ −3.3% ▼ −4.0 pts
MIN / MAX $2.83T / $2.98T 58.0% / 58.5% $871B / $912B $592B / $632B 59 / 73
◆ Top 20 cryptocurrencies (excluding stablecoins) weekly review
# Crypto Price 7d Range Week low Week high RSI 7d Week volume
1 BTC $83,641.02 ▼ −2.1% 8.2% $80,393.56 $86,999.11 58 $7.67bn
2 ETH $2,533.81 ▼ −6.2% 13.8% $2,406.11 $2,738.00 56 $4.34bn
4 BNB $752.39 ▼ −4.6% 13.0% $717.07 $809.99 57 $531mn
5 XRP $1.41 ▼ −6.5% 16.1% $1.32 $1.53 51 $936mn
7 SOL $111.32 ▼ −8.4% 15.5% $105.71 $122.08 57 $1.30bn
8 TRX $0.3303 ▼ −1.6% 2.1% $0.3302 $0.3371 50 $154mn
9 HYPE $86.49 ▼ −4.2% 15.2% $82.68 $95.25 61 $146mn
10 ZEC $1,264.65 ▼ −5.1% 24.5% $1,112.77 $1,385.00 63 $1.09bn
11 DOGE $0.08681 ▼ −9.2% 19.9% $0.08108 $0.09719 46 $426mn
13 LINK $13.30 ▼ −6.3% 18.1% $12.09 $14.28 58 $135mn
14 ADA $0.2529 ▼ −1.2% 26.2% $0.2238 $0.2824 51 $344mn
15 LEO $8.91 ▼ −0.9% 5.0% $8.61 $9.04 40 $24k
16 NEAR $5.71 ▲ +14.4% 30.1% $4.30 $5.60 76 $1.02bn
17 XLM $0.2027 ▼ −7.8% 22.6% $0.1852 $0.2271 50 $90mn
18 BCH $285.30 ▼ −9.9% 19.9% $268.40 $321.90 47 $79mn
19 CC $0.1271 ▼ −0.7% 14.6% $0.1133 $0.1299 47 $29mn
20 LTC $64.52 ▼ −9.5% 17.7% $60.97 $71.76 56 $126mn
21 UNI $7.73 ▼ −14.3% 32.1% $7.00 $9.24 60 $370mn
22 AVAX $10.85 ▼ −2.1% 20.1% $9.76 $11.73 56 $294mn
24 SUI $1.12 ▼ −8.2% 25.7% $0.998 $1.25 54 $468mn

Method: current price and 7-day change from CoinMarketCap (real time). Weekly min/max, range and volume are computed from Binance daily candles over the last 7 days — the current price may therefore sit outside that range after a very recent move. Range = (max − min) / min, in %. 7-day RSI uses Wilder's formula (period 14) on weekly candles (or aggregated daily candles when unavailable). Top 20 by market capitalisation, excluding stablecoins. Cryptocurrencies not listed on Binance are shown as “—”.

Context
◆ Neutral sentiment — analysis based on the international press of the past 48 hours.
Sources CoinMarketCap.com (prices, volumes, market capitalisation)  ·  alternative.me (Fear & Greed Index)  ·  TradingView (Total3 / Total3ES definitions)
II
Of World Markets
❦
Quotes as of 11 October 2026 at 21:15 (Paris time).
NORTH AMERICA.
S&P 500 7,812 ▲ +0.6%
Nasdaq Comp. 30,883 ▲ +0.5%
Dow Jones 51,655 ▲ +0.8%
◆
EUROPE.
CAC 40 FR 7,803 ▲ +1.0%
DAX 40 DE 25,087 ▲ +1.1%
Euro Stoxx 50 6,173 ▲ +0.8%
ASIA-PACIFIC.
Nikkei JP 69,031 ▼ −0.0%
Hang Seng HK 24,211 ▲ +1.8%
SSE Comp. CN 3,814 ▲ +0.0%
KOSPI KR 6,626 ▼ −2.6%
◆
LATIN AMERICA.
IBOVESPA BR 209,067 ▲ +1.4%
IPC Mexico MX 66,049 ▲ +1.6%
EMERGING MARKETS.
Sensex IN 72,472 ▲ +1.2%
JSE Top 40 ZA 6,550 ▲ +1.9%
Exchange
rates
session
EUR / USD
1.1206
▼ −0.1%
GBP / USD
1.3234
▲ +0.0%
CHF / USD
1.2070
▲ +0.3%
JPY / USD
0.006319
▼ −0.3%
USD / EUR
0.8924
▲ +0.1%
USD / GBP
0.7556
▼ −0.0%
USD / CHF
0.8285
▼ −0.3%
USD / JPY
158.25
▲ +0.3%
Reading
On the financial press agenda this week: macroeconomics · Bitcoin · geopolitical tensions · ETF flows · Ethereum.
There can be no criterion of value other than gold. Yes, gold, which does not change in nature, which can be made indifferently into bars, ingots or coins.
— Charles de Gaulle, President of France (1890-1970)
III
Of Institutional Flows
❦
◆ Verdict · Friday 9 October session
Bullish conviction.
Bitcoin draws $21mn as its price rises 0.75%: conviction holds. Among altcoins, flows remain cautious (+0.27% to +1.08%).
 
 
FLOWS
PRICE 24H
BTC
12 ETF
+$21mn
+0.75%
ETH
11 ETF
−$56mn
+0.85%
SOL
9 ETF
−$4mn
+1.08%
XRP
5 ETF
+$0mn
+0.27%
DOGE
3 ETF
+$0mn
+0.65%
Net total: −$39mn  ·  40 spot ETFs  ·  AUM $124.9bn
Sources SoSoValue.com (reported flows, assets under management)  ·  CoinMarketCap.com (24-hour change in the underlying)
◆ Who holds what · CFTC report

No unusual moves this week.

Ether: Leveraged Funds short at 29% of open interest, mid-range by historical standards.

Bitcoin: Leveraged Funds short at 32% of open interest, mid-range by historical standards.

A net short does not signal a bearish view: most often it reflects hedging, or arbitrage between the spot and futures markets.

Source CFTC.gov — positions as of 6 October 2026, published 9 October 2026

IV
Of Technical Signals
❦
◆ The week in review · 11 October

The week that began with Bitcoin pressing against overbought ground ended with it at $82,820, some $3,700 below Monday's opening level, contained within its Bollinger corridor but resting closer to the lower band of $81,220 than to the upper band of $87,126. The 20-day average stands at $84,173. The price, in short, gave ground steadily and settled near the floor of what its own volatility corridor considers normal. That alone would constitute a week worth examining. The flows that accompanied the retreat make it the week's defining story.

Across the seven days, Bitcoin exchange-traded funds recorded net outflows of $681mn; Ethereum products suffered a further $542mn of withdrawals, leaving the combined weekly total at minus $1,223mn. That figure is not a marginal adjustment. It is a co-ordinated withdrawal of institutional capital from both of the market's principal listed instruments, and it arrived as the price was declining rather than rising. In the early sessions of October, as this survey documented day by day, outflows met a price that barely conceded; flows and price moved in opposite directions with a persistence that was itself the signal. Wednesday broke that pattern decisively, and the remainder of the week did not restore it.

Ethereum bore the sharper price consequence. Its seven-day change of minus 7.8 per cent placed it well behind Bitcoin's minus 1.3 per cent, a divergence that the flow data illuminates rather than contradicts. Within the top twenty by market capitalisation, the losses were broad and, in several cases, severe: BCH fell 13.6 per cent, XLM 13.1 per cent, and DOGE 11.3 per cent. The gainers — NEAR at 5.8 per cent, BOBO at 5.8 per cent — offered no counterweight of comparable scale.

Weekly volume in Bitcoin contracted 13.1 per cent against the prior week. The editorial barometer moved from 55.6 to 50.4, remaining in neutral territory throughout but arriving at its lower boundary. The market did not break; it subsided — steadily, across five sessions, with institutional and price signals aligned for the first time in weeks. That alignment, however unwelcome, is the clearest reading the week provides.

◆ Bitcoin · technical map · 1W · 52 weeks · 11 October
RSI 70 · $100,720RSI 50 · $76,211RSI 30 · $42,890$82,820OctDecFebAprJunAugOct
RSI 70 (overbought)RSI 50 (neutral)RSI 30 (oversold)
◆ Weekly RSI map · Top 10weekly position · daily target prices
Weekly RSI · oversold / overbought pricesgap vs MA200305070MA200BTC$74,670$90,187$82,82058.3+15.0%ETH$2,336$2,952$2,50056.0+17.1%BNB$671.20$855.49$745.3356.5+16.0%XRP$1.24$1.71$1.3950.6+8.5%SOL$97.43$133.37$109.1756.6+25.7%TRX$0.3258$0.3509$0.330350.4-0.7%HYPE$70.46$107.28$84.9460.9+36.1%ZEC$886.02$1,819$1,22262.8+89.5%›DOGE$0.0752$0.111$0.0850546.3-3.0%LINK$10.07$16.58$12.8858.0+32.6%
◆ Weekly performance · Top 107-day price change
7-day performance · sorted best → worst0%−12%+12%TRX−1.6%BTC−4.3%HYPE−6.2%BNB−6.3%ETH−8.3%XRP−8.6%ZEC−9.6%LINK−9.8%SOL−10.2%DOGE−11.3%
The week in motion · weekly RSIheating upcoolingsteady (faded)last weekthis weekZEC 68HYPE 65SOL 65LINK 65ETH 64BNB 63BTC 63XRP 56TRX 54DOGE 5263 ZEC −4.961 HYPE −4.358 BTC −5.058 LINK −6.957 SOL −8.557 BNB −6.856 ETH −8.451 XRP −5.650 TRX −3.246 DOGE −5.7in colour: the cryptos that moved · in grey: the steady ones, set back
Analysis based on the international press of the past 48 hours.