Year I · No. XLII
Daily · Paris
Mon 12 October 2026
❦
Crypto · Markets · Flows · Signals
Data as of 2026-10-12 04:22 UTC
Week 42
Circulation: public
International Edition
This week: macroeconomics and Bitcoin clearly dominate, ahead of geopolitical tensions (5 main themes).
In focus this week
Macro/BTC lead
ETF BTC +$21mn
S&P 500 ▲ +0.6% 24h
The Day's Editorial

Markets drift toward thresholds, none yet crossed

ETF flows, world indices and press sentiment: the crypto market in a single read.

▲   Section I  ·  Markets — Free to share Public edition
I
Of Cryptocurrencies
❦
◆ Market indices · Week 42 top 125 CMC · vs. 24h
Market Cap
$2.87T
top 125 CMC
BTC Dominance
58.4%
BTC / total
Total3
$885B
excl. BTC, ETH
Total3ES
$607B
excl. BTC, ETH, stables
Fear & Greed
69
Greed
◆ Top 10 cryptocurrencies (excluding stablecoins) live data
# Crypto Price 24h 7d Market Cap Volume 24h Circulating
1 BTC Bitcoin $83,446.42 ▲ +0.78% ▼ −2.72% $1.68T $14B 20 M
2 ETH Ethereum $2,540.76 ▲ +1.61% ▼ −6.14% $310B $8B 122 M
4 BNB BNB $750.00 ▲ +0.55% ▼ −5.19% $100B $1B 133 M
5 XRP XRP $1.40 ▲ +0.85% ▼ −7.02% $89B $1B 63.13 Md
7 SOL Solana $111.41 ▲ +1.96% ▼ −7.39% $66B $2B 589 M
8 TRX TRON $0.3321 ▲ +0.63% ▼ −0.93% $32B $347M 94.99 Md
9 HYPE Hyperliquid $87.01 ▲ +2.49% ▼ −3.57% $22B $441M 254 M
10 ZEC Zcash $1,283.91 ▲ +4.99% ▼ −3.50% $22B $894M 17 M
11 DOGE Dogecoin $0.08667 ▲ +1.77% ▼ −9.33% $15B $484M 172.00 Md
12 XMR Monero $532.62 ▲ +1.25% ▼ −2.24% $10B $93M 19 M
Context
◆ Neutral sentiment — analysis based on the international press of the past 48 hours.
Sources CoinMarketCap.com (prices, volumes, market capitalisation)  ·  alternative.me (Fear & Greed Index)  ·  TradingView (Total3 / Total3ES definitions)
II
Of World Markets
❦
Quotes as of 12 October 2026 at 06:15 (Paris time).
NORTH AMERICA.
S&P 500 7,812 ▲ +0.6%
Nasdaq Comp. 30,883 ▲ +0.5%
Dow Jones 51,655 ▲ +0.8%
◆
EUROPE.
CAC 40 FR 7,803 ▲ +1.0%
DAX 40 DE 25,087 ▲ +1.1%
Euro Stoxx 50 6,173 ▲ +0.8%
ASIA-PACIFIC.
Nikkei JP 69,031 ▼ −0.0%
Hang Seng HK 24,253 ▲ +0.2%
SSE Comp. CN 3,809 ▼ −0.1%
KOSPI KR 6,417 ▼ −3.1%
◆
LATIN AMERICA.
IBOVESPA BR 209,067 ▲ +1.4%
IPC Mexico MX 66,049 ▲ +1.6%
EMERGING MARKETS.
Sensex IN 72,589 ▲ +0.2%
JSE Top 40 ZA 6,550 ▲ +1.9%
Exchange
rates
session
EUR / USD
1.1215
▲ +0.1%
GBP / USD
1.3247
▲ +0.1%
CHF / USD
1.2049
▲ +0.0%
JPY / USD
0.006320
▲ +0.0%
USD / EUR
0.8917
▼ −0.1%
USD / GBP
0.7550
▼ −0.1%
USD / CHF
0.8300
▼ −0.0%
USD / JPY
158.23
▼ −0.0%
Reading
On the financial press agenda this week: macroeconomics · Bitcoin · geopolitical tensions · Ethereum · altcoins.
When it comes to money, everyone is of the same religion.
— Voltaire, French philosopher and writer (1694-1778)
III
Of Institutional Flows
❦
◆ Verdict · Friday 9 October session
Bullish conviction.
Bitcoin draws $21mn as its price rises 0.87%: conviction holds. Among altcoins, flows remain cautious (+1.16% to +2.16%).
 
 
FLOWS
PRICE 24H
BTC
12 ETF
+$21mn
+0.87%
ETH
11 ETF
−$56mn
+1.72%
SOL
9 ETF
−$4mn
+2.16%
XRP
5 ETF
+$0mn
+1.16%
DOGE
3 ETF
+$0mn
+2.07%
Net total: −$39mn  ·  40 spot ETFs  ·  AUM $124.9bn
Sources SoSoValue.com (reported flows, assets under management)  ·  CoinMarketCap.com (24-hour change in the underlying)
IV
Of Technical Signals
❦
◆ Technical view · 12 October

Sunday's close left Bitcoin at $83,773.12, its momentum reading of 54.6 sitting 7.5 per cent below overbought ground and 1.3 per cent above the mid-range threshold of 50. After a fortnight in which that threshold was approached from above and below in alternating sessions, the distance between current momentum and the floor of the neutral range has widened modestly. The retreat from early October's $86,530.00 close now amounts to roughly 3.2 per cent measured between those two Sunday sessions.

Ethereum sits in a more constrained position. At Sunday's close of $2,536.94, its three-times-tested resistance at $2,553.32 lay a mere 0.6 per cent above — the tightest proximity to a major level in this reading. That resistance has been touched on three separate occasions over the surveyed period, and Sunday's close represents the nearest approach yet without resolution.

Elsewhere, TRX closed at $0.3302, its momentum reading of 37.0 leaving it 1.3 per cent from oversold ground — the closest reading in this survey to that threshold, and a notable deterioration from the compressions near resistance that characterised its recent sessions.

The sentiment barometer, at 50 out of 100, has recovered fractionally from its recent lows, though it offers little by way of direction.

◆ Bitcoin · technical map · 1D · 200 sessions · 12 October
Resistance $87,308 · 2× touches Support $74,953 · 2× touches RSI 70 · $90,047 RSI 50 · $82,653 RSI 30 · $73,766 $83,773 Mar May Jul Sep
Historical resistance Historical support RSI 70 (overbought) RSI 50 (neutral) RSI 30 (oversold)
◆ Technical indicators · Top 10 · Timeframe 1D Wilder smoothing method
# Crypto RSI 14 Overbought 70 Neutral 50 Oversold 30 MA50/200 P vs MA20
1 BTC $83,773.12 54.6 $90,046.74 +7.5% $82,653.09 −1.3% $73,766.05 −11.9% ▲▲ ▼ −0.6%
2 ETH $2,536.94 44.6 $2,946.20 +16.1% $2,589.03 +2.1% $2,301.33 −9.3% ▼▲ ▼ −4.3%
4 BNB $754.24 49.1 $850.16 +12.7% $756.78 +0.3% $666.78 −11.6% ▲▲ ▼ −2.0%
5 XRP $1.41 45.5 $1.69 +20.2% $1.44 +2.2% $1.23 −12.8% ▼▲ ▼ −5.0%
7 SOL $111.35 46.9 $132.39 +18.9% $113.06 +1.5% $96.02 −13.8% ▲▲ ▼ −5.2%
8 TRX $0.3302 37.0 $0.351 +6.3% $0.3351 +1.5% $0.3258 −1.3% ▼▼ ▼ −1.6%
9 HYPE $86.71 48.7 $106.74 +23.1% $87.42 +0.8% $69.06 −20.4% ▲▲ ▼ −3.5%
10 ZEC $1,276.69 48.2 $1,823.06 +42.8% $1,304.26 +2.2% $822.22 −35.6% ▲▲ ▼ −8.9%
11 DOGE $0.08679 44.1 $0.1102 +27.0% $0.09001 +3.7% $0.07406 −14.7% ▼▼ ▼ −6.7%
12 XMR $537.60 50.2 $633.36 +17.8% $537.04 −0.1% $439.97 −18.2% ▲▲ ▼ −2.0%
Analysis based on the international press of the past 48 hours.